Daily numbers #Pandemic

These numbers are from the Illinois Dept. of Public Health with further information available in the links to the press releases for that specific day. Since my last post on Tuesday.

Wednesday, April 8, 2020 - 1,529 new cases of coronavirus with 82 additional deaths

Thursday, April 9, 2020 - 1,344 new cases with 66 deaths

Friday, April 10, 2020 - 1,465 new cases with 68 deaths

Saturday, April 11, 2020 - 1,293 new cases with 81 deaths

Sunday, April 12, 2020 - 1,672 new cases with 43 deaths

As of Sunday afternoon the totals in Illinois are 20,852 cases of positive coronavirus infeections with a total of 720 deaths. Cases of coronavirus are in 86 Illinois counties.

Also it's been discussed in the news nationally that Blacks are falling victim to this disease increasingly. The disease itself and its effects are affecting a number of families around the nation unfortunately. With this said I want to share this PSA that is directed towards the Black community. The message here is to do all that's possible to protect those in our family who are vulnerable. [VIDEO]

While Chance, Charles Tillman, Theaster Gates, Jackie Joyner Kersee and Horace Grant don't directly mention these methods and certainly they mentioned those individuals working in essential jobs - maintain social distancing and certainly staying at home to avoid illness.

Also check out this appearance on Face the Nation by Mayor Lightfoot as she discusses the impact of the coronavirus on the Black community [VIDEO]

Personally I like this piece of news and it's great news. While its many of our hopes for life to go back to normal, it probably won't until we can be sure there won't be another wave of the coronavirus and cause this much disruption to our society.

Illinois, among the U.S. states with the most coronavirus cases, may be showing signs of slower Covid-19 spread earlier than other major hot spots, according to a new analysis.

The state, which has reported more than 19,180 confirmed cases, stretched the number of days over which cases double to 7.9 as of April 9 from 2.1 on March 22, data compiled by Rush University Medical Center in Chicago showed.

The so-called implied doubling rate is a key indicator public health officials use to project the number of Covid-19 patients that hospitals can expect to see, as well as how many doctors, nurses, beds, ventilators and masks may be needed and when.

The analysis by Rush, which tracked the growth rate from the day hot-spot states confirmed their 100th cases, found Illinois’s rate of doubling is taking longer than New York, California and Washington state at this stage in its outbreak. The higher the number, the better.

For comparison, 25 days after reporting the first 100 instances, confirmed cases doubled every 6.1 days in New York, every 6.6 days in Washington and every 5.1 days in California, according to Rush.

“We’ve seen that doubling time is longer and longer,” Bala Hota, a doctor specializing in infectious diseases and Rush’s chief analytics officer, said in a telephone interview. “It’s a positive. This whole conversation is about mitigation. It’s about controlling what’s already here.”

I want to share this with you, especially for those of you who are certainly data and infomatic "geeks". HealthData.org has been making various projections nationally and with the states and Washington, DC as far as hospital beds, ICU admissions and of course numbers of infections and deaths. Here are the projections for Illinois with the projections for peak hospital resources had passed on April 3, 2020 as far as peak deaths April 8, 2020 was the peak.

Under the circumstances I don't just want to say we're in good shape. However it appears we're on course to flattening the curve.

Let's hope that this means the state can lift the stay-at-home order after April 30, 2020. I also recognize that perhaps we can't get back to normal immediately, however, I hope we can surely but slowly get back to normal.

As always be careful out there and be safe!